Independent observers estimate that Turkey has terribly difficult scenarios in front of it, as it is already going through a fierce pre-election period, which was named by them as a "war" between the Erdogan regime and the Opposition, and all this climate is likely to be exported to the Aegean and Eastern Mediterranean.
A "war", which under special conditions and situations can turn into a normal civil war, due to two factors:
A. The prohibitive cost of rebuilding the damaged areas.
B. The impossibility of enforcing "social peace" within a country with thousands of prisoners, unemployed and now also without homes and the basics to live.
Russian media reported that "in the upcoming Turkish elections, two major coalitions are expected to clash, Erdogan and the opposition. The competition is fierce and resembles a war."
The great earthquake in Turkey had a negative impact on the political prospects of the current head of state, Recep Tayyip Erdogan.
Observers Mikhail Katkov and Renat Abdullin note that the Turkish people are already accusing the Turkish president of not protecting his citizens, who are now suffering because of the high level of corruption in the construction of their homes.
Alexei Obrachov, a Turkologist and associate professor at St. Petersburg State University, points out that "all this will not change the overall situation much."
"It is possible to improve the image and improve interstate relations only by working for a long time. The people in the ruins thank the foreign rescuers, but this is their personal opinion.
For those who were not directly affected by the tragedy, such as Turkish high-ranking officials, who live in houses of different quality, in more protected areas, these are fine print", he emphasized, and this and the experts in our country who rushed to speak about supposedly Greek-Turkish approach.
What is Erdoğan probably preparing after the end of the rescues from the earthquakes
Erdogan declared a state of emergency in ten southeastern provinces. Early presidential and parliamentary elections scheduled for May are in jeopardy
"There are about 15 million people there. According to the law, elections cannot be canceled due to such disasters, this is only allowed by martial law, while with special decrees, Erdogan can afford to make some maneuvers. However, this is not Turkish society will like it." says a foreign expert.
Things in Turkey are extremely dangerous, and this concerns our country which has been the recipient of serious challenges from the Erdogan regime for more than 2 years.
The move of the Greek aid and solidarity mission to the unhappy Turkish citizens in SE Turkey won the minds and souls of many of them, but it is not a panacea.
Turkish interests are here and very soon the "neighbors" will move even more determined to try to seize the Greek EEZ, (especially south of Crete), with the aim of finding money and energy for their country.
We think it would be a big mistake for many in Greece to believe that Erdogan will "pull himself together", since now that he is "injured" he will probably attack without tomorrow.
