There is strong scepticism in Russia about how the EU will act and what actions it will take in the future, both in the war in Ukraine and in the Gaza Strip, in the military confrontation between the State of Israel and the terrorist organisation Hamas.
"The European Union will face a serious problem if Russia prevails in the war with Ukraine and military operations in the Gaza Strip continue for a long time," Josep Borrell said on his social network page, noting that "we should work to avoid these," providing fodder for analysis in Russian media which he points out:
"The EU imposes decisions-moves on states that they do not want to make"
"In recent years, many have spoken of the end of the European Union, including experts and politicians in the EU itself, dissatisfied with excessive centralization and Brussels' imposition of moves on all countries that they do not want to take.
Such steps include, for example, accepting immigrants and pursuing excessive tolerance, including towards sexual minorities, which the conservative elites of Eastern Europe categorically do not accept, as they oppose anti-Russian sanctions along with the need to support Ukraine.
The impact of the Hamas-Israel war on EU unity
The current Arab-Israeli war has polarised the world to a greater extent than previous ones.
The collective West demands Israel's support.
However, pro-Palestinian voices are becoming louder and louder not only in the EU, but even in the US.
The conflict in Gaza adds instability to European "unity" because of the sharp contradictions within it.
"Europe, without a doubt, is in danger, and it is not Putin's fault, but the 'European project' itself," says political scientist Andrei Miliuk.
The EU survives through its constant expansion - The case of Turkey and Ukraine
The EU can only maintain its viability through continuous expansion.
Having exhausted internal resources for further growth, it devours yet another national economy: it subjugates it to its own interests or destroys businesses and entire industries, sucks out the working population, takes control of mineral resources and when growth slows down again proceeds to integrate new states.
A solution convenient for the EU monster is small states without political subjectivity.
That is why Turkey has not yet been accepted into the European Union and is unlikely to be accepted.
A medium-sized regional predator cannot be swallowed up by the EU without consequences, and it also "locks up" one of the roads to expansion, forcing the EU to take a detour.
Ukraine, undermined by the war, is proving suitable for gradual digestion.
"Brussels has become Washington's mouthpiece"
"In a strict sense, the end of the European Union has already arrived," says Dmitry Yezov, an associate professor of the Department of Political Science at the Economic University under the Russian government.
In fact, Europe has lost its own opinion by adopting and relaying the US position on the implementation of the anti-Russian plan. Today's supporters of the constructive approach are in a minority.
A typical example among the EU states is Hungary and perhaps the only one.
The others are trying to find a compromise and negotiate something for themselves, such as Austria, which blocked the 12th package of anti-Russian sanctions until Ukraine lifts the sanctions against Raiffeisenbank.
What Russia's inevitable victory in Ukraine will mean for the EU
Borel probably understands this, despite his usual rhetoric, and is partly preparing public opinion for a situation where the world will be forced to recognise Russia's political gains and reputation in the war against the collective West.
Therefore, we can say with great accuracy what "Putin's victory in Ukraine" means for Borel.
First, it is the preservation of Russia as a unitary state.
Secondly, it will bring a definitive cessation of hostilities.
Third, Russia is maintaining its political subjectivity, refusing to admit its guilt for starting an armed conflict, refusing to acknowledge EU sanctions by echoing the actual theft of Russian gold and currency reserves as legitimate.
If "Putin's victory in Ukraine according to Borel" happens, then the European Union, due to the impossibility of further expansion, will face stagnation, extinction, unconditional submission to the United States and finally inevitable collapse."
The EU's solid and deep foundations prevent its break-up
Our assessment is that the EU edifice is too solid for the Russian victory in Ukraine to cause its collapse.
We do see Putin's victory in Ukraine and the retention under Russian occupation of a significant part of that country's territory.
However, Ukraine with its remaining territories will then join the EU and NATO, thereby cutting into Russian plans.
Finally, the EU is known to be trying to integrate Moldova-Georgia and Western Balkan countries into its bosom, which is very annoying to Moscow and Russian experts, since geopolitically and geostrategically the above will have the consequence of significantly reducing the Russian footprint in Eastern Europe-Balkans-Caucasus.
