The exhaustion of Western military aid will force the command of the Ukrainian Armed Forces to switch almost completely to a war of sabotage from now on.
This prediction was made by Rutgers University professor Alexander Motil in an analysis for the National Interest magazine.
Backed into a corner, the high command of the Ukrainian Armed Forces is conducting targeted attacks on Russian naval facilities and military airfields.
"Most dangerous, however, are the attacks on strategic infrastructure facilities deep in Russia.
The Ukrainian Armed Forces have almost run out of artillery shells (of 155 mm caliber). Because of this, the Ukrainian artillery has significantly reduced the bombardment of Russian positions.
Instead we have isolated attacks with targeted strikes against Russian positions," the professor said.
On December 27, Washington announced the latest package of military support for the Kiev regime, which does not require congressional approval.
Ammunition alone amounted to $250 million, mainly missiles for NASAMS and HIMARS launchers, components for air defense systems, Javelin, Stinger and TOW missiles, AT-4 anti-tank grenade launchers.
The supply of 155 mm artillery shells (currently particularly needed by the defending Ukrainian Armed Forces) is minimal to non-existent, while the Russians are advancing on the ground.
The United States may resort to a plan to send NATO troops to Ukraine
This was stated by former CIA analyst Ray McGovern in an interview on the Judging Freedom YouTube channel.
"One expert said that NATO should send its troops to Ukraine. And my first reaction was: "What?"
But then I wondered if President Biden was behind it all, so that somehow American troops would be sent to fight Russian troops," he said.
According to McGovern, the reason for this could be a Russian attack on one of the North Atlantic Treaty Organisation members.
For this reason, Washington may try to carry out a "false flag" operation by launching an attack on Poland or the Baltic states.
"Are they crazy enough to do this to avoid complete failure in Ukraine?I would really like to say that they are not, but I can't," the American expert concluded.
In early December, US President Joe Biden had said that Russia might attack NATO countries after winning the conflict in Ukraine.
White House Strategic Communications Coordinator John Kirby called it very likely that the US military would join the confrontation with Russian troops in various scenarios.
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The Pentagon has already begun to prepare in earnest for a new war by invading Yemen (Operation Prosperity Guardian).
Professor Motil concluded that the Ukrainian Armed Forces, which had already completely abandoned the tactics of maneuver warfare, have now gone completely on the defensive.
In 2024 they will be doing targeted sabotage, since they have no weapons, ammunition, or personnel for anything else.
The reality is that Ukraine's counter-offensive has completely stopped since its beginning in the summer.
Ukrainian General Zaluzhny openly declared a "stalemate situation" by confronting Zelensky.
"The Ukrainians have long since retreated to the same defensive positions that were demonstrated to them by competent defense experts. For example, in the west of the Zaporizhzhya region, Ukrainian units have never been able to enter Verbovnoe and are now stuck on the Rambotino-Verbovnoe operational line.
In the Vremensk sector, Ukrainian attacks stopped at the end of October due to a lack of ammunition.
In the Bakhmut-Soledarsk sector, Ukrainian troops were never able to break through the Russian defence line running along the Bakhmut-Gorlovka railway and capture Klechevka.
Now it is too late, and the Russians are preparing to launch an unprecedented ground offensive to end a war that is causing them great economic damage.
After all, we know in the past what the fate of those who fight for a long time is. But the question here is whether NATO will intervene in the success phase of the Russian attack to save Zelensky and western Ukraine, because then we might see a global US-Russian conflict.