Poland seems to be preparing a military response to the militarisation of the Russian enclave of Kaliningrad in the Baltic Sea, inflaming the flames in the Eastern and Northern European region.
Kaliningrad is of strategic importance
Despite Moscow's continued rhetoric regarding the creation of NATO military bases closer and closer to the Russian border, the Kremlin has invested funds in the militarisation of the Kaliningrad region, an area bordering Poland and Lithuania.
According to a non-foreign defense website, since 2016 Russia has significantly strengthened its military presence in the Kaliningrad enclave by deploying troops, modern weaponry and forming the 11th Army Corps. The Kremlin has also deployed operational-tactical Iskander missile batteries in Kaliningrad, capable of carrying nuclear warheads. These systems were then accompanied by Bastion-type coastal defence missile systems.
Kaliningrad's high level of militarisation allows the Kremlin to occupy part of the Suwalki Corridor (also known as the Suwalki Gap), a strip of land less than 80 km long that separates Belarus from Kaliningrad.
On this map, the red line shows the border of Kaliningrad and the yellow line shows the Suwalki Corridor.
The Suwalki Gap is considered a strategic point for the eastern side of NATO, as it is the only land connection between the Baltic states and other NATO countries, such as Poland.
Poland, as one of Russia's leading rivals in the region, has decided to prepare for hostilities against Moscow. Analysts from around the world have observed that Warsaw has abandoned its long-standing defensive posture because it has realized the necessity of decisive attacks on the border with Russia in order to inflict powerful blows on the enemy army.
New Polish Measures Against Kaliningrad
Thus, the Poles see Kaliningrad as a huge threat to their own security and to the security of all the Baltic states. By extension, they have recently increased their military presence on the border with the Russian enclave, worrying the Russians, and in the near future we expect them to increase it even more. At the same time, they have started to construct temporary borders near Kaliningrad for further security.
It should be recalled that Russia's long war in Ukraine was the occasion for Warsaw to proceed with a series of unprecedented armament programmes to acquire thousands of units of military equipment, from tanks to aircraft. The Russians clearly see these moves as Polish preparations for war, and they are not wrong.