It is known that military operations in the Gaza Strip between the Hamas terrorist organization and the State of Israel are suspended for the next four (4) days, as part of the agreement between the two warring parties to release hostages held by the terrorist organization, while releasing a number of Palestinians from Israeli prisons.
However, similar calm is not expected to prevail in the hostilities between Hezbollah and Israel on the border in Lebanon, where the situation is "dangerously out of control" .
Hezbollah attacks on northern Israel
According to an Israeli media outlet following developments in his country minute by minute, at least 80 rockets, missiles and mortars were fired from Lebanon into northern Israel in a series of attacks by Hezbollah on Thursday, marking one of the most wide-ranging attacks by the terrorist group since October 7.
The Israel Defense Forces (IDF) says some 35 rockets fired from Lebanon crossed the border in the previous barrage into northern Israel. Hezbollah claimed to have fired 48 rockets; air defenses intercepted several of the rockets; the IDF says it hit the rocket launchers. In addition, several anti-tank rockets and mortars were fired from Lebanon at areas along the border.
Israel responds with fierce air attacks
For their part, the Israel Defense Forces say fighter jets struck a number of rocket launcher sites in Lebanon in response to fire directed at northern Israel earlier in the day.
The military says its airstrikes destroyed launchers belonging to the Hezbollah terror group used in attacks against Israel in recent days, as well as "military sites" used by the group.
The Israeli army released footage showing its strikes.
Also drone, helicopter and tanks hit Hezbollah forces who fired an anti-tank missile at Biranit
At the same time, the "Iron Dome" air defence system shot down multiple missiles fired by terrorists from Lebanon.
Where the escalation is leading
From the above we understand that Hezbollah wishes to make its presence more intense as long as the four-day pause in Hamas-Israel operations lasts, maintaining the warlike climate and increasing its attacks in numbers, which we expect to continue in the coming days.
For its part, we do not expect Israel to remain indifferent, but we expect it in turn to step up its strikes against Hezbollah, especially with dense air strikes.
However, as long as Hezbollah does not violate Israel's "red line" by hitting strategic targets throughout its territory , such as air bases, naval bases, military bases, floating gas platforms and major urban centres , hostilities may intensify between them, but we estimate that they will not lead to a full-scale military confrontation by conducting ground operations between them.
On the contrary, our assessment is that it is very likely that in the next seven (7) days the Israeli Air Force will carry out a strike against the Yemeni Houthis, with the Israeli Air Force General openly talking about the existence of a plan to attack them.
