In an extensive analysis of the war in Ukraine, since a year has passed, the British newspaper "Guardian" has proceeded. And specifically it tries to answer the big question of who will be the winner and who is the big loser according to the data so far.
The image on the front, has clearly changed, compared to a year ago, emphasizes the Guardian. The Ukrainians are no longer retreating like in the first days.
"The picture is completely different from that of the first weeks of the war when hundreds of Russian armored and Russian air forces crossed the border to seize the airfield at Khostomel, outside Kiev, in order to gain a bridge to the Ukrainian capital."
Who is the big winner?
For the time being... they emphasize, it is not clear who will be the final winner. And no one can predict the outcome of the war.
Both sides are far from their goals
In the case of Ukraine this concerns the liberation of all occupied territories. But over the past 12 months Moscow has repeatedly backtracked on its maximalist goals – including toppling the Ukrainian government and imposing a puppet government – to seize all of Donbas, in eastern Ukraine.”
Who has the biggest losses?
As for the country with the biggest losses, the Guardian was clear and pointed to Russia.
"Russia has great losses. A recent estimate by the International Institute for Strategic Studies (IISS) puts Russia's armor losses at 40-50% compared to initial forces. In terms of human casualties, it is estimated that 2,000 Russian soldiers are lost for every 100 meters gained in eastern Ukraine," the report says.
The British newspaper even reported, in support of its claims of heavy Russian losses, that US General Mark Miley had previously said that Russia has already lost tactically and strategically, although neither country is close to achieving the strategic her goal.
“It is safer to say that the current trajectory of conflict is going better for Ukraine than for Russia and that the continued influx of weapons from the West will maintain that outlook. But Ukraine relies heavily on the West for weapons, including ammunition, which has proved an Achilles' heel for Kiev in eastern Ukraine where the fighting is done by infantry. It also remains unknown how many weapons systems, such as armored vehicles, will be delivered to Ukraine, or how quickly this will be done to bring the war closer to an end," the publication stressed.
"So for now the war continues," concludes the Guardian.
Who will make the big counterattack first?
The Guardian also answered the question of which of Russia or Ukraine is closer to making the big counterattack and... voted for Ukraine.
"Although senior Ukrainian officials have warned several times even before Christmas that Russia is preparing a new attack in 2023, the evidence for this is still thin," writes the British newspaper.
“Although Russia has significantly increased its infantry forces – some estimate that there are around 300,000 Russian troops in Ukraine – there is no evidence that hundreds of armored vehicles are preparing for a new entry into an area monitored by spy satellites. "Russian shelling is less intense than it was in the summer in the area around Severodonetsk when Moscow fired about 60,000 rockets a day," the Guardian notes.
